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Fixed Income

Global Corporate Bonds: A good time to bolster defensive allocations

This year, financial markets have often seemed like a rollercoaster. Prices have whipsawed as investors have attempted to price heightened geopolitical risk and President Donald Trump’s America first approach to global trade.

 

In the aftermath of Trump’s “Liberation Day”, the S&P lost 20% only to regain almost all of this in a matter of weeks. At the same time, US Treasury yields were equally volatile, rising and then falling back by nearly 80bps. What can investors do to manage portfolio risk amid such extreme market moves?

 

One important lesson we think investors can draw from such volatility is the value of maintaining a solid defensive allocation to help smooth portfolio results. We see global investment grade (IG) corporate bonds as an effective way investors can achieve this, with the asset class providing three of the key roles investors typically require of fixed income: income, capital preservation and diversification from equities.

 

At the end of June, global investment grade corporate bonds provided a yield of around 5.2% (USD hedged). Historically, yield has been highly correlated to future five-year returns; in other words, at current yields, dollar-based investors could reasonably expect annualised results in the mid-to-high single digits over the next five years. 

Yield has historically been a strong indicator of future returns from US corporate bonds

Yield has historically been a strong indicator of future returns from US corporate bonds


Past results are not a guarantee of future results.

Data from 31 January 1973 to 31 May 2025 and in US dollar terms. Index used: Bloomberg US Corporate Total Return Index. 
Source: Bloomberg. Yield is yield to worst.

Today’s historically strong fundamentals suggest IG corporates are an attractive option to provide defensive ballast and fulfil the role of capital preservation in portfolios. Additionally, with inflation gradually stabilising and central banks cutting rates, duration is once again providing a useful source of diversification.

 

Spreads are tight relative to historical levels but beneath the surface there are opportunities for bottom-up investors, focused on security selection. Three areas of opportunity include European banks, US electric utilities and pharmaceuticals.

Flavio-Carpenzano-color-600x600

Flavio Carpenzano is an investment director at Capital Group. He has 20 years of industry experience and has been with Capital Group for four years. He holds a master's degree in finance and economics from Università Bocconi. Flavio is based in London.

PETB

Peter Becker is an investment director at Capital Group. He has 28 years of industry experience and has been with Capital Group for six years. He holds a master's degree from The Ingolstadt School of Management. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation. Peter is based in London. 

Past results are not predictive of results in future periods. It is not possible to invest directly in an index, which is unmanaged. The value of investments and income from them can go down as well as up and you may lose some or all of your initial investment. This information is not intended to provide investment, tax or other advice, or to be a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
 
Statements attributed to an individual represent the opinions of that individual as of the date published and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Capital Group or its affiliates. All information is as at the date indicated unless otherwise stated. Some information may have been obtained from third parties, and as such the reliability of that information is not guaranteed.
 
Capital Group manages equity assets through three investment groups. These groups make investment and proxy voting decisions independently. Fixed income investment professionals provide fixed income research and investment management across the Capital organisation; however, for securities with equity characteristics, they act solely on behalf of one of the three equity investment groups.