Traditional asset allocation methods often struggle to accurately model a portfolio’s resilience to inflation risk. In this paper, Capital Group Solutions portfolio manager Wesley Phoa explores these limitations and describes enhanced techniques.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
- Simulation methods for realistically modeling inflation differ significantly from those typically used for asset class returns.
- Standard modeling techniques may not fully capture inflationary impacts on asset class correlations.
- Existing frameworks can be retrofitted to better account for inflation risk across a broad range of asset classes.
Wesley Phoa is a solutions portfolio manager with 32 years of industry experience (as of 12/31/2024). He holds a PhD in pure mathematics from Trinity College at the University of Cambridge and a bachelor’s degree with honors from the Australian National University.